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Energy Procurement Newsletter

  • Trends & Perspective
  • Market Knowledge
  • In the News
 
 
Prospect Resources Inc
 

November 2023

 

Hi !

 

"Ben Franklin may have discovered electricity - but it is the man who invented the meter who made the money.”

Chief Justice of the United States Earl Warren

 
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Azi Feifel

COO PROSPECT RESOURCES

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Trends in the Energy Market

Current Market News

  • NYMEX futures have recently dropped on higher production and mild weather. Storage injections have remained steady. Prompt month is December 2023. As of this writing, winter highs remain under $3.60 / MMBtu.

  • A cold front is in place in the eastern half of the country, bringing some heating-related natural gas demand. A warm up takes place next week, followed by another colder pattern. Otherwise, it is very seasonal throughout much of the country.

  • Chevron acquired Hess Corp., in a $53 billion dollar deal signaling continued consolidation in the U.S. oil and gas business.
  • Natural gas inventories are 3,779 Bcf, 293 Bcf or 8.4% more than the same period last year and 205 Bcf or 5.7% more than the 5-year average.
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And yet more...

  • Crude oil prompt-month futures are down and holding below $85/bbl. Prompt-month crude oil traded at $82.13/bbl., down $3.23/bbl, in morning trading on Monday, October 30. Summer futures are currently below $80/ bbl.

  • Economy - Wage and benefit increases have eased but remain strong as the central bank continues to tackle inflation. Home sales fell to their lowest level in 13 years, a combination of high home prices and rising mortgage rates. Europe's economy continues fall further behind the U.S., driven by slower growth and higher inflation.

  • PJM electricity forwards remain flat, with 2024 remaining the best deal out there. The entire 2024-2028 forward price curve is still trading mid-range. Several NYISO Zones have dropped fairly significantly. ERCOT is way up.

Market Knowledge

Federal Government Projects A Surge In Renewable Energy In The Coming Decades 

 

In October, Energy Information Administration released its International Energy Outlook through the year 2050. Amy Feldman (Forbes Staff) summarized some of the more interesting projections.

 

The projection that greenhouse gas emissions will continue to grow throughout the period, despite more renewable energy sources, thanks to rises in both population and income, which will offset the transition to the less carbon-intensive energy sources.

 

Further, renewable energy generation is expected to increase somewhere between 30-76%, with between 81-95% of new electric capacity installed in the coming years to be using zero-carbon technologies.

 

Lastly, the electric vehicles will “account for between 29% and 54% of global new vehicle sales by 2050,” with China and Western Europe leading the market for these vehicles. 

 

You can read the EIA agency’s full energy outlook here. 

 

Learn More

 

Energy Sector in the News

 

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U.S. - ENERGY
Biden-Harris Administration Announces $1.3 Billion to Build Out Nation’s Electric Transmission and Releases New Study Identifying Critical Grid Needs: President Biden’s Investing in America Agenda will support three interregional transmission lines across six states creating thousands of high-quality jobs and expanding access to cheap and reliable clean energy.

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U.S. - NATURAL GAS-BARRONS 

Southwest Gas, Algonquin Power See Activist Action: Corvex Management raised its investment in energy firm Southwest Gas. Starboard Value bought more shares of electric utility Algonquin Power. 

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U.S. - NATURAL GAS-WSJ 

Analysts Expect 79 Billion Cubic-Foot Rise in U.S. Natural Gas Inventories: Government data are expected to show that U.S. natural gas inventories rose by 79.2 billion cubic feet in the latest week, according to a survey of analysts.

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COMMODITIES - BARRONS 

Strike Blocks Key Cargo Route. What's at Stake: A number of commodities and agricultural products are shipped through the St. Lawrence Seaway.

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ELECTRIC VEHICLE - BARRONS 

Graphite Is China’s New Trade Weapon: China’s increased controls on graphite, which are used in electric-vehicle batteries, could hurt U.S. auto makers shifting to EVs. The move could also hurt China’s economy. 

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RENEWABLES – WIND - BARRONS 

Siemens Energy Shares Plunge on Wind Warning: Siemens Energy shares lost almost a third of their value after the company said losses at its wind-turbine business in fiscal 2024 would be worse than current market expectations, as it works through quality issues and ramp-up challenges in offshore. 

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NATURAL GAS STOCKS - FORBES 
Chevron Buys Hess As The U.S. Oil Merger Train Gains Steam:
Less than two weeks after ExxonMobil’s XOM 0.0% all-stock buyout of Permian Basin giant Pioneer Natural Resources PXD -0.1%, fellow U.S. major Chevron CVX +0.8% said it is buying New York City-based independent Hess HES +1% Corp. in another all-stock transaction. The acquisition of Hess will not only make Chevron a major player in the Bakken Shale basin in North Dakota and Montana, but also make it a 30% partner in the gigantic Stabroek block offshore Guyana in which ExxonMobil serves as operator.

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CLEAN ENERGY - FORBES

Hydrogen Is Our Best Bet To Decarbonize Heavy Industry, U.S. Energy Secretary Says: The U.S. government is making an unprecedented push to invest in clean hydrogen as part of its efforts to cut greenhouse gas pollution. Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm tells Forbes that the government believes fuel will be crucial in decarbonizing heavy industrial processes, particularly steel and ammonia production.

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